NC-Sen: Hagan Opens Strong Lead in New Poll, SSP Moves Race to “Lean Dem”

Public Policy Polling (10/31-11/2, likely voters, 10/25-26 in parens):

Kay Hagan (D): 51 (48)

Elizabeth Dole (R-inc): 44 (45)

Christopher Cole (L): 3 (4)

(MoE: ±2.1%)

Kay Hagan has opened up a nice lead — one that is well outside of this poll’s miniscule margin of error, leading PPP’s Tom Jensen to declare that Dole’s “Godless Americans” attacks have “blown up in her face”. Good.

In a great sign for Hagan, she leads Dole by 56-41 among early voters (63% of the sample), while Obama leads McCain by 55-45 among those who have already cast a ballot. Obama is locked in a neck-and-neck race with McCain in this state (leading by only 50-49 overall), so Hagan’s strong early performance looks like it will be enough to carry her through election day. SSP is updating our rating of this race from Tossup to Lean Democratic.

6 thoughts on “NC-Sen: Hagan Opens Strong Lead in New Poll, SSP Moves Race to “Lean Dem””

  1. That got Kay Hagan even with Dole.

    Then with “Godless”, Dole panicked and shot herself in the foot.   Liddy, have you no shame?

    (of course, Obama’s NC work is huge with this race as well).

  2. that Hagan seems to have enough of a lead that the Republicans won’t be able to blame Dole’s loss on the Libertarian vote.

    Dole lost because of her own incompetence as a senator and a candidate.

    Though I agree that DCCC rocking chairs ad was one of the best.

  3. in this race were:

    – the rocking chair guys were a big plus for Hagan, getting the point across while killing Dole with kindness.

    – the Godless ads are just appalling. I can’t believe Dole went there.

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